Caleb Williams
Williams enters year two under Ben Johnson as a full-time starter with a legitimate, improved supporting cast, positioning him as a low-end QB1 with real breakout upside if his accuracy catches up to his production.
Role
Unquestioned starter and every-down passer who also adds a rushing floor (roughly 380-400 rush yards and 3 rushing scores a season); his pass-catching corps includes Rome Odunze, Luther Burden III and rookie-turned-Year-2 TE Colston Loveland, with D'Andre Swift (pushed by Kyle Monangai) as the lead back soaking up checkdowns and goal-line work.
His touchdown rate normalized to a healthy ~4.8% in year one under Johnson, fantasy PPG jumped from 15.0 to 18.7, and Johnson himself says Williams is 'executing at a much higher clip than he ever has' — with a talented, deepening receiving corps and a scheme built to protect and empower him, another efficiency step forward could push him into a top-10 QB tier.
The surface-level fantasy gains mask a real accuracy problem: Williams completed only 58.1% of his passes in 2025, among the worst rates of any starting QB, and his rushing production actually dipped from his rookie year; losing center Drew Dalman to retirement (replaced by a lower-graded Garrett Bradbury) could pressure an offensive line that was a key reason for last year's leap.
Where analysts split
Analysts split on whether Williams' 2025 improvement is a real efficiency breakthrough that will compound with better weapons, or a touchdown-rate/scheme mirage sitting on top of still-shaky accuracy that regresses if the retooled offensive line (particularly at center) takes a step back.
Research confidence: reported. Outlooks are grounded in web search over current reporting and refreshed through the season.
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