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Player outlooks · WR · DEN · bye 10

Jaylen Waddle

Consensus #79 · WR29Week 9: at CAR, 5th vs WRUpdated Oct 20

Waddle is Denver's second receiver and a likely co-No. 1 target in an offense that has struggled, and the real question for the rest of the season is whether Bo Nix's short, rushed passing game opens up and whether the shoulder lets him play at full snaps.

Role

He played 39 of 60 offensive snaps (65%) against Seattle on Thursday, per Mile High Report's snap count. Courtland Sutton played 46 (77%). Troy Franklin played 39 (the article's text lists 41 for Waddle and 39 for Franklin, which conflicts with its own table, so Waddle's snap count is 39 or 41). Lil'Jordan Humphrey played 17 and Marvin Mims 16. RotoWire's Week 6 box score breakdown has Waddle at an 80% route share and tied for the team lead in targets with seven. He briefly left that game with a shoulder injury and returned. Franklin and Pat Bryant were listed on CBS's Broncos page with hamstring injuries. I did not check their current status, and I did not read a depth chart page.

The case for

Waddle has flashed the ceiling. He caught 8 of 10 targets for 138 yards in the Week 2 win over Jacksonville, and Nix averaged 9.3 yards per dropback in that game. Draft Sharks' preseason outlook expected Waddle to take the No. 1 WR role from Sutton, citing his 22.9% target share and top-16 yards per route run and targets per route run last year. Optimists also point to the 80% route share and team-high seven targets in Week 6 as evidence that the volume is there even when the offense is bad.

The case against

The offense has not delivered production. Waddle caught 1 of 3 targets for 2 yards in Week 1 and 4 of 7 for 24 yards against Seattle. RotoWire's Week 6 breakdown says Nix ranks last of 701 in average pass length, at 4.9 air yards per attempt. ESPN reported that Waddle may be hurt more than others by Nix's "sped-up clock" and quick pace, and said the Broncos' expected deep-threat and catch-and-run impact has not materialized. A shoulder injury, with a questionable tag, adds risk to his snaps and role.

Where analysts split

The split is whether Nix and the offense will throw downfield enough to use Waddle's explosiveness. Optimists point to the Jacksonville game as the template. Skeptics point to Nix's very short average pass length and his rushed play, and to the 24 yards on seven targets against Seattle. A second question is whether Waddle or Sutton ends up as the primary target. Preseason outlooks leaned toward Waddle, but I did not find current target-share data for the season.

Research confidence: reported. Outlooks are grounded in web search over current reporting and refreshed through the season.

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